“Without data, you’re just another person with an opinion.” — W. Edwards Deming
Transparent statistical anlaysis.
Repeatable methods.
Measureable results.
Every prediction can be track, verified, and independently checked.
NFL PREDICTIONS BUILT ON EVIDENCE, NOT OPINIONS
RESULTS SPEAD FOR THEMSELVES
Examine the evidence. Decide for yourself.
Every prediction is tracked. Every results is measured.
Every season helps improve the next.
OUR CORE PRINCIPLES
We ask better questions.
Curiousity drives us to look deeper, challenge assumptions, and find the insights others miss.
CURIOSITY
EVIDENCE
Transparent. Repeatable. Measurable.
Our methods are open, our data is cited, and our process is reapatable every single week.
Judge us by our performance.
We track every prediction.
You decide if our process delivers value.
RESULTS
WATCH OUR 15-SECOND VIDEO
New Analysis
every Wednesday
morning.
THIS WEEK'S INSIGHT
Our model disagrees with the experts on a key matchup.
See the evidence behind our pick__ and what makes this week diffeent.
Explore the process behind this week's predictions.
MEET WEDNESDAY.
Every Wednesday she will break down what surprised us,
what chagned, and what the numbers suggest this.
No Shouting. No hot takes.
Just thoughtful footbal conversation.
Compared with 2025 national expert panels: 61–63%
12 of 13 (92.3%)
2025 PLAYOFFS:
182 of 272 (66.9%)
2024 NFL SEASON:
174 of 272 (64.0%)
2025 NFL SEASON:
TRANSPARENCY , ACCOUNTABILITY, ARCHIVED,
Every prediction is archived. Every results is measured.
See exactly what we published--before a kickoff.
Case studies from The Nugget (2019-2021) and beyond.
PRIVACY POLICY
Transparent statistical anlaysis.
Repeatable methods.
Measureable results.
Every prediction can be track, verified, and independently checked.