To have transparency and documentation, we will be posting each week's Featured Game and Predictions for your reference.
WEEK 3: 2026 SEASON
MEANFootball's Proprietary Model: Posted Wednesday, Sept. 23rd, at 7:30 PM
International Game: Baltimore Versus Dallas
Sunday, Sep 27th @ 1:25 PM in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Week 3: The Final 8
The **MFI—MEANFootball™ Indicator—**evaluated every matchup using relevant performance data and a valid, consistent and repeatable analytical process.
We’re publicly featuring eight selections where the MFI identified the strongest overall support.
Want the complete weekly card? Subscribe, and we’ll email you all of our picks for the week.
The MFI is a proprietary analytical indicator. Selections are provided for informational and entertainment purposes only.
★ FEATURED GAME
WEEK 3 • 2026 SEASON • Baltimore vs Dallas
Baltimore Ravens Vs. Dallas Cowboys
Using 2025 and 2026 Regular Season data, analysis shows Baltimore having some statistical edges over Dallas.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys
Baltimore and Dallas arrive in Rio at 1–1, but by different routes. The Ravens opened with a 41–23 win over Indianapolis, then lost 24–17 to New Orleans. The Cowboys lost 28–20 to the Giants before responding with a 37–20 win over Washington. Sunday’s winner moves to 2–1; the loser falls to 1–2.
Baltimore’s data: Across the 2025 regular season, the Ravens scored 424 points (24.9 per game) and allowed 398 (23.4 per game). Their +26 point differential shows a capable team, but the run chart below also shows considerable swings from game to game.
Dallas’s data: The Cowboys scored more—471 points (27.7 per game)—but allowed 511 (30.1 per game) in 2025. Their -40 point differential reflects the challenge: Dallas can score, yet too often needs to win a high-scoring contest.
The prediction: A+POINTS favors Baltimore, 28.9–25.8, a projected margin of just 3.1 points. That is a lean, not a comfortable cushion. Baltimore receiver Zay Flowers missed Wednesday’s practice, while Dallas is monitoring injuries in its secondary.
The tidbit: Dallas is the designated home team, but this is no ordinary Cowboys home game. It will be the NFL’s first regular-season game in Rio de Janeiro, with a 5:25 p.m. local kickoff at Maracanã.
Rio tidbit: Maracanã can hold roughly 79,000, while Melbourne’s NFL debut drew just over 100,000.
Points Scored, Points Allowed, and the Point Differences were charted for the 17 games over the 18 week Regular Season. This is raw data. Published: 7:50 PM Pacific, Wednesday, 9/23/2026
WEEK 2: 2026 SEASON
* Delayed posting due to more aggressive modelling. At 5:10 PM, Thursday, September 17th, Detroit vs. Buffalo was posted on Featured Game webpage.
Week 2: The Final 8
The MFI—MEANFootball™ Indicator—evaluated every matchup using relevant performance data and a valid, consistent and repeatable analytical process.
We’re publicly featuring eight selections where the MFI identified the strongest overall support.
Want the complete weekly card? Subscribe, and we’ll email you all of our picks for the week.
The MFI is a proprietary analytical indicator. Selections are provided for informational and entertainment purposes only.
WEEK 2: 2026 SEASON
MEANFootball's Proprietary Model: Posted Wednesday
Using 2025 Regular Season data, analysis shows Buffalo having some statistical edges over Detroit. Also, Buffalo's experience in the 2025 playoffs and the intensity of playing in their new stadium might have "intangible" but important elements.
Detroit's swagger and desire to always prove themselves are key aspects of their persona. Coach Dan Campbell's competitive spirit is ever present. Coming off of a tight game last week, in Detroit, with the New Orleans Saints needs to be put aside. The Bills are an elite, consistent team and formidable opponent.
Detroit
Buffalo
Points Scored, Points Allowed, and the Point Differences were charted for the 17 games over the 18 week Regular Season. This is raw data.
Published: 5:10 PM Pacific, Thursday, 9/17/2026
WEEK 1: 2026 SEASON
MEANFootball's Proprietary Model: Posted Wednesday at 10:30 AM
WEEK 1: FEATURED GAME, NE Vs. SEA
MEANFootball predicted Seattle edging out New England in a close match. Seahawks 13, Patriots 10. A very entertaining game!
Only three (3) times in NFL history have the two (2) teams playing in the prior year's Super Bowl faced each other next season. This is the first time occurring in the first game of the season. Events have changed since then that could impact this scheduled game. Time, effort, and circumstances will triangulate in this game. More to follow!
A+ POINTS™: Evidence-First NFL Predictions
A+ POINTS™
Evidence-First NFL Predictions
This is the heart of every MEANFootball™ forecast.
Each NFL matchup is ranked by projected separation, not simply by which team is expected to win. Games with the largest projected differences rise to the top, helping you quickly identify where our statistical model sees the greatest advantage.
Confidence Levels
🟢 Strong — Projected separation above the 16.3% threshold. These are the games where the model has its highest confidence.
🟡 Moderate — Meaningful projected advantage, but below the Strong threshold. Worth watching as additional information becomes available.
🔴 Close (50–50) — Very small projected separation. These games are essentially statistical toss-ups where one play, turnover, injury, or coaching decision can determine the outcome.
Built on Evidence
Every percentage shown here is generated from historical scoring performance using a transparent, repeatable statistical process. Rankings are updated throughout the week as injury reports, roster changes, and other verified information become available.
Our objective isn't to predict every game perfectly.
Our objective is to identify where the greatest statistical separation exists and present those results in a simple, understandable format.
Evidence first. Opinion second.